Carabao Cup 1/16

AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion analysis

AFC Bournemouth Brighton & Hove Albion
80 ELO 76
17.5% Tilt 6.3%
72º General ELO ranking 54º
11º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
60.4%
AFC Bournemouth
21.8%
Draw
17.8%
Brighton & Hove Albion

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
AFC Bournemouth
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.8%
Win probability
Brighton & Hove Albion
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO progression

AFC Bournemouth
Brighton & Hove Albion
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AFC Bournemouth
AFC Bournemouth
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Sep. 2017
BOU
AFC Bournemouth
2 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
61%
22%
17%
79 77 2 0
09 Sep. 2017
ARS
Arsenal
3 - 0
AFC Bournemouth
BOU
80%
14%
7%
79 90 11 0
26 Aug. 2017
BOU
AFC Bournemouth
1 - 2
Manchester City
MAC
16%
20%
64%
80 90 10 -1
22 Aug. 2017
BIR
Birmingham City
1 - 2
AFC Bournemouth
BOU
16%
21%
63%
79 62 17 +1
19 Aug. 2017
BOU
AFC Bournemouth
0 - 2
Watford
WAT
57%
22%
21%
80 79 1 -1

Matches

Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Sep. 2017
BOU
AFC Bournemouth
2 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
61%
22%
17%
77 79 2 0
09 Sep. 2017
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
3 - 1
West Bromwich Albion
WBA
39%
28%
33%
76 81 5 +1
26 Aug. 2017
WAT
Watford
0 - 0
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
52%
25%
23%
76 79 3 0
22 Aug. 2017
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
1 - 0
Barnet
BAR
75%
17%
8%
76 55 21 0
19 Aug. 2017
LEI
Leicester
2 - 0
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
71%
19%
11%
76 85 9 0