AEK Larnaca vs Pafos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
22.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2021 |
OMO
1 - 1
AEK
37%
28%
35%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
DOX
1 - 4
AEK
26%
27%
47%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
AEL
0 - 2
AEK
43%
27%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2021 |
AEK
0 - 0
APO
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
ARI
1 - 0
AEK
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Pafos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
PAP
1 - 0
AEL
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
APO
1 - 1
PAP
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
ARI
0 - 0
PAP
39%
28%
34%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
PAP
3 - 0
ETH
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2021 |
PAP
1 - 3
SEL
88%
9%
3%
|
73 | 14 | 59 | -1 |