AEK Larnaca vs Ermis Aradippou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
AEL
1 - 2
AEK
55%
25%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
AEK
1 - 1
OLY
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
APO
1 - 0
AEK
68%
21%
12%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
AEK
3 - 2
APO
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
ALK
1 - 2
AEK
53%
24%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ermis Aradippou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
ERM
2 - 2
APO
26%
26%
48%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
OMO
4 - 1
ERM
67%
21%
13%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
ERM
2 - 2
PAP
56%
25%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
ANO
4 - 0
ERM
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
ERM
1 - 0
ENO
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |