AEK Athens vs Velež Mostar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
VEL
2 - 1
AEK
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
AEK
3 - 0
APO
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
BRU
2 - 1
AEK
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
ANT
0 - 2
AEK
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
FEY
3 - 1
AEK
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
VEL
2 - 1
AEK
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
VEL
2 - 0
POS
70%
20%
10%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
COL
1 - 2
VEL
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
VEL
2 - 1
COL
44%
24%
32%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
MLA
0 - 1
VEL
25%
27%
48%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |