AEK Athens vs Iraklis Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
ETH
1 - 3
AEK
18%
24%
57%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1999 |
AEK
6 - 1
FTK
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
AEK
1 - 2
PAN
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1999 |
PAO
4 - 4
AEK
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1999 |
FTK
0 - 1
AEK
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Iraklis Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
IRA
4 - 1
TRI
75%
16%
9%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1999 |
AOK
3 - 1
IRA
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
IRA
1 - 0
APS
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
IRA
2 - 3
PAN
79%
15%
7%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
APS
1 - 3
IRA
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |