Adriese vs Mestre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
45.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adriese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
MON
3 - 2
SDA
22%
24%
54%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
SDA
2 - 5
CLO
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
SGS
2 - 1
SDA
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
SDA
0 - 2
TRE
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 3
SDA
28%
25%
48%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
MES
3 - 2
VIR
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
MZN
2 - 0
MES
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
MES
1 - 1
CAL
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
MON
0 - 3
MES
17%
22%
61%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
MES
0 - 1
SAN
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |