Franciacorta vs Sammaurese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Franciacorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CRE
1 - 2
ADR
33%
23%
44%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
ADR
4 - 2
PSM
66%
18%
16%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
MEZ
1 - 4
ADR
41%
23%
36%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
ADR
4 - 2
BRE
58%
20%
23%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
MAN
4 - 2
ADR
77%
15%
8%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Sammaurese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
SAM
4 - 0
CAL
25%
22%
53%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
SAM
1 - 1
BRE
22%
21%
57%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
PSM
2 - 0
SAM
69%
18%
13%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
SAM
0 - 2
SAV
31%
24%
45%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
ALF
1 - 1
SAM
38%
24%
39%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |