ADO Den Haag vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
64.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ADO Den Haag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ADO
0 - 2
VIT
19%
24%
58%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
VVV
1 - 2
ADO
39%
25%
36%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
FEY
4 - 2
ADO
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
ADO
0 - 1
GRO
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
HER
2 - 0
ADO
56%
22%
22%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
NAP
0 - 1
AZA
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
AZA
2 - 2
VVV
67%
20%
14%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SPA
4 - 4
AZA
15%
21%
65%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
FOR
3 - 3
AZA
16%
22%
63%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
AZA
1 - 1
ZWO
71%
19%
10%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | -1 |