ADO 20 vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.4%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
82%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.4%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18%
0-4
8.3%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.4%
0-5
4.5%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.9%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ADO 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
UVS
0 - 1
ADO
28%
24%
48%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
ADO
1 - 3
FTA
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
FCB
0 - 1
ADO
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
ADO
1 - 2
SVV
54%
22%
24%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
ADO
0 - 2
ARG
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
FEY
4 - 0
NAC
73%
16%
11%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
NAC
4 - 0
RJC
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
NEC
3 - 3
NAC
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
VIT
1 - 2
NAC
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
NAC
3 - 2
GRA
68%
20%
13%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |