ESAE vs ASOS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ESAE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
POL
1 - 0
ADJ
53%
24%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
ADJ
0 - 1
AYE
41%
25%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
AVR
2 - 0
ADJ
41%
27%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ADJ
0 - 1
SEM
47%
26%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ADJ
2 - 2
DRA
46%
26%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
ASOS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ASO
0 - 1
ASP
50%
25%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
BUF
3 - 2
ASO
47%
26%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
POL
0 - 2
ASO
53%
23%
23%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
ASO
0 - 1
AYE
44%
24%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ASO
1 - 0
MOG
49%
25%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |