Adelaide United vs Western United FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
8º
6º
7
3º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
58.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
38% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 1
ADE
33%
25%
43%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ADE
1 - 2
MEL
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
WPH
3 - 2
ADE
49%
24%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ADE
1 - 2
WES
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SYD
2 - 1
ADE
48%
24%
27%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Western United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
WUF
2 - 2
MEL
30%
26%
44%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
WES
1 - 3
WUF
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
WUF
1 - 0
PER
39%
26%
36%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 2
WUF
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 1
WUF
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |