Adelaide United vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
9º
3º
44
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
PER
4 - 4
ADE
23%
24%
53%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ADE
0 - 1
WUF
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
ADE
1 - 1
SYD
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
WES
2 - 3
ADE
32%
26%
43%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
ADE
5 - 1
WPH
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 3
CCM
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CCM
1 - 1
MCI
37%
24%
39%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
WUF
0 - 3
CCM
38%
26%
35%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CCM
4 - 1
BRI
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
MEL
2 - 0
CCM
38%
25%
37%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |