Adelaide United vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
30.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
PER
1 - 2
ADE
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2005 |
ADE
1 - 0
MEL
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
ADE
0 - 0
BRI
62%
23%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2005 |
NEW
0 - 1
ADE
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
PER
5 - 0
ADE
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2005 |
SYD
2 - 3
CCM
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
CCM
0 - 2
NZK
69%
19%
11%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
CCM
1 - 1
NEW
61%
23%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2005 |
PER
0 - 1
CCM
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |