Apertura Colombia Liga Águila Jor. 5

Deportivo Pasto vs At. Nacional analysis

Deportivo Pasto At. Nacional
71 ELO 80
2.9% Tilt -14.2%
555º General ELO ranking 356º
18º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
30.9%
Deportivo Pasto
27.2%
Draw
41.8%
At. Nacional

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
Deportivo Pasto
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
41.8%
Win probability
At. Nacional
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Deportivo Pasto
-8%
-8%
At. Nacional

ELO progression

Deportivo Pasto
At. Nacional
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Deportivo Pasto
Deportivo Pasto
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Feb. 2015
UNI
Unión Magdalena
0 - 0
Deportivo Pasto
PAS
34%
27%
40%
71 62 9 0
16 Feb. 2015
ONC
Once Caldas
1 - 0
Deportivo Pasto
PAS
63%
22%
15%
71 78 7 0
10 Feb. 2015
JAG
Jaguares FC
2 - 0
Deportivo Pasto
PAS
37%
29%
35%
72 64 8 -1
07 Feb. 2015
PAS
Deportivo Pasto
0 - 3
Internacional de Palmira
COR
67%
20%
13%
73 61 12 -1
09 Nov. 2014
PAS
Deportivo Pasto
1 - 1
Fortaleza
FOR
60%
23%
16%
72 67 5 +1

Matches

At. Nacional
At. Nacional
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Feb. 2015
LIB
Libertad
2 - 2
At. Nacional
NAC
45%
27%
28%
81 78 3 0
14 Feb. 2015
ENV
Envigado
1 - 2
At. Nacional
NAC
32%
28%
40%
80 71 9 +1
12 Feb. 2015
NAC
At. Nacional
1 - 2
Atlético Huila
HUI
56%
24%
20%
80 74 6 0
08 Feb. 2015
IND
Independiente Medellín
0 - 1
At. Nacional
NAC
43%
27%
30%
80 76 4 0
01 Feb. 2015
NAC
At. Nacional
2 - 0
Águilas Doradas
AGU
57%
25%
19%
80 75 5 0
X