AD Nogueirense vs Loures analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
33.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PEN
0 - 1
ADN
23%
24%
53%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ADN
3 - 1
MAC
87%
10%
4%
|
37 | 13 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
ADN
60%
23%
18%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
OLE
0 - 1
ADN
45%
26%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 0
ADN
54%
25%
21%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Loures
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
LOU
1 - 0
OLE
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
LOU
0 - 0
CAL
38%
27%
36%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 0
LOU
68%
20%
12%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
LOU
6 - 1
CDP
81%
13%
6%
|
39 | 7 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
LOU
0 - 1
SIN
35%
27%
38%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |