Tercera Division G4 Round 32

AD Llerenense vs Ilicitano analysis

AD Llerenense Ilicitano
25 ELO 47
4.8% Tilt 6.5%
5203º General ELO ranking 4007º
180º Country ELO ranking 123º
ELO win probability
20.7%
AD Llerenense
26.2%
Draw
53.1%
Ilicitano

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
AD Llerenense
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
53.1%
Win probability
Ilicitano
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AD Llerenense
+1%
+12%
Ilicitano

ELO progression

AD Llerenense
Ilicitano
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AD Llerenense
AD Llerenense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Apr. 1971
BET
Betis Deportivo
6 - 3
AD Llerenense
ADL
83%
12%
5%
27 43 16 0
28 Mar. 1971
ADL
AD Llerenense
0 - 0
Cartagena F.C. UCAM
CFC
31%
30%
39%
26 52 26 +1
21 Mar. 1971
CDB
CD Badajoz
2 - 0
AD Llerenense
ADL
88%
9%
3%
27 43 16 -1
14 Mar. 1971
ADL
AD Llerenense
0 - 2
AgD Ceuta
AGD
26%
26%
48%
28 44 16 -1
07 Mar. 1971
RJA
Real Jaén
2 - 0
AD Llerenense
ADL
84%
12%
4%
28 46 18 0

Matches

Ilicitano
Ilicitano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Apr. 1971
ELC
Ilicitano
1 - 2
Recreativo
REC
57%
23%
20%
47 51 4 0
28 Mar. 1971
SEV
Sevilla At.
2 - 0
Ilicitano
ELC
46%
26%
28%
49 40 9 -2
21 Mar. 1971
ELC
Ilicitano
2 - 1
Real Murcia
MUR
43%
26%
31%
48 58 10 +1
14 Mar. 1971
JOV
FC Jove Español
4 - 1
Ilicitano
ELC
43%
28%
29%
50 39 11 -2
07 Mar. 1971
ELC
Ilicitano
1 - 1
Mérida CP
MER
76%
15%
9%
50 41 9 0