Frei Paulistano vs Vitória da Conquista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
45.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
POT
0 - 0
AFP
46%
22%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
AFP
0 - 1
SER
30%
24%
47%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
ITA
2 - 0
AFP
36%
24%
40%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
AFP
0 - 4
CON
10%
16%
73%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
CON
1 - 0
AFP
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
VIT
2 - 0
COR
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
VIT
3 - 1
JEC
62%
20%
18%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2020 |
SDJ
3 - 0
VIT
44%
27%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
VIT
3 - 2
FLU
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ADA
0 - 0
VIT
16%
20%
64%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |