AD Ceuta FC vs Ciudad de Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
10.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Ceuta FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
CAD
1 - 0
CEU
39%
26%
35%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2017 |
CEU
0 - 0
BAL
15%
22%
63%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
REC
2 - 1
CEU
38%
26%
36%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
CEU
2 - 1
UTR
55%
24%
21%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
CEU
0 - 0
LEB
36%
25%
38%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
CDL
1 - 1
XER
41%
25%
35%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
CDL
2 - 1
POZ
63%
22%
15%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 4
CDL
41%
26%
34%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
CDL
2 - 1
LAP
47%
25%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
CDR
2 - 1
CDL
23%
25%
52%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | -1 |