Camacha vs São João Ver analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Camacha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 2
CAM
62%
22%
16%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAM
2 - 0
MAR
36%
25%
40%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
GAF
0 - 0
CAM
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CAM
0 - 0
GAF
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ANA
1 - 1
CAM
52%
25%
24%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
São João Ver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 1
ANA
34%
26%
39%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAO
70%
19%
12%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 1
EST
33%
25%
42%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAO
71%
18%
11%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 0
EST
32%
24%
44%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +1 |