ACV Assen vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
19.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACV Assen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
ACV
2 - 3
AZS
67%
20%
14%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
GEN
0 - 3
ACV
50%
22%
27%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +3 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
ORA
0 - 1
ACV
18%
21%
60%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
ACV
2 - 1
APE
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
DOV
2 - 2
ACV
43%
26%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
EXC
2 - 3
STA
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
DOV
4 - 1
EXC
43%
25%
33%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 2
EXC
45%
22%
33%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
EXC
8 - 0
ASV
91%
7%
2%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
GEN
4 - 0
EXC
52%
21%
28%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -2 |