Acireale vs Licata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
72.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
PAL
2 - 0
ACI
50%
24%
26%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ACI
3 - 2
POR
35%
24%
41%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
GEL
4 - 0
ACI
47%
24%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ACI
0 - 2
USC
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
CIT
2 - 0
ACI
28%
24%
48%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Licata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
LIC
3 - 0
ASD
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CAV
19 - 5
LIC
76%
15%
8%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +24 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
LIC
0 - 7
AGR
21%
23%
56%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
FCS
7 - 2
LIC
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
LIC
1 - 1
TOR
24%
23%
53%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +1 |