Acireale vs Castrovillari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ACI
3 - 1
MES
61%
22%
17%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
PAL
1 - 2
ACI
16%
21%
64%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
FCS
4 - 2
ACI
62%
22%
16%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
ACI
2 - 3
SSC
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 3
ACI
87%
11%
3%
|
34 | 73 | 39 | +2 |
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
USC
1 - 1
FCS
20%
26%
55%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
SSC
3 - 2
USC
64%
19%
18%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
HYR
2 - 1
USC
32%
23%
45%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
USC
0 - 1
PAL
5%
14%
82%
|
32 | 73 | 41 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
ACC
2 - 1
USC
16%
19%
66%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | -1 |