Achilles 29 vs ARC Alphense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.5%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
75.5%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+82%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achilles 29
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
JOD
1 - 0
ACH
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 41 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
CAP
3 - 1
ACH
85%
11%
5%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ACH
0 - 1
DUN
13%
18%
69%
|
11 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
FCS
3 - 0
ACH
87%
9%
4%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
ACH
1 - 3
DHS
8%
14%
78%
|
12 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
CAP
0 - 1
ARC
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
ARC
0 - 0
FCS
51%
22%
27%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
JOD
5 - 0
ARC
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ARC
5 - 3
DHS
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
SMI
0 - 3
ARC
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |