League Two Round 5

Accrington Stanley vs Rochdale analysis

Accrington Stanley Rochdale
60 ELO 51
5% Tilt 7%
3843º General ELO ranking 3256º
100º Country ELO ranking 83º
ELO win probability
63.7%
Accrington Stanley
21.3%
Draw
15%
Rochdale

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
Accrington Stanley
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15%
Win probability
Rochdale
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Accrington Stanley
+1%
+4%
Rochdale

ELO progression

Accrington Stanley
Rochdale
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2006
STA
Accrington Stanley
1 - 0
Nottingham Forest
NTT
38%
25%
37%
60 67 7 0
18 Aug. 2006
STO
Stockport County
1 - 1
Accrington Stanley
STA
37%
25%
38%
60 52 8 0
12 Aug. 2006
STA
Accrington Stanley
2 - 1
Barnet
BAR
58%
23%
19%
60 54 6 0
08 Aug. 2006
STA
Accrington Stanley
0 - 2
Darlington FC
DAR
58%
23%
19%
61 58 3 -1
05 Aug. 2006
CHE
Chester
2 - 0
Accrington Stanley
STA
27%
25%
48%
62 53 9 -1

Matches

Rochdale
Rochdale
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Aug. 2006
DON
Doncaster Rovers
3 - 2
Rochdale
ROC
67%
21%
12%
52 67 15 0
19 Aug. 2006
ROC
Rochdale
0 - 1
Notts County
NOT
48%
26%
26%
52 52 0 0
12 Aug. 2006
SWI
Swindon Town
1 - 0
Rochdale
ROC
58%
23%
19%
53 58 5 -1
08 Aug. 2006
GUL
Torquay United
1 - 0
Rochdale
ROC
54%
24%
22%
54 57 3 -1
05 Aug. 2006
ROC
Rochdale
0 - 1
Walsall
WAL
46%
26%
27%
54 56 2 0