FA Cup . 1/64
Global 3-5
Accrington Stanley vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
30.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2012 |
STA
1 - 2
ROT
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
STA
1 - 1
GIL
26%
26%
48%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
FLE
1 - 3
STA
75%
17%
9%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
STA
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
STA
2 - 4
NOR
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
OXF
2 - 1
NOR
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 2
OXF
35%
26%
38%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 1
OXF
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
OXF
0 - 0
GUL
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
OXF
2 - 3
DAG
52%
25%
24%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |