Académica vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
48.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2015 |
BEL
0 - 0
ACA
50%
27%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ACA
1 - 1
PEN
51%
28%
21%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
GFC
1 - 1
ACA
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
ACA
0 - 3
FCP
12%
21%
67%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ACA
0 - 2
SLB
15%
23%
62%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
PAÇ
1 - 2
RIO
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2014 |
SPB
3 - 0
PAÇ
64%
21%
16%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
PAÇ
1 - 2
FAM
86%
11%
3%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
ARO
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MOR
2 - 0
PAÇ
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |