Académica vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
38.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 0
ACA
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
ACA
1 - 1
UDL
36%
29%
35%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2007 |
SCP
4 - 1
ACA
75%
17%
8%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
FAT
1 - 0
ACA
21%
22%
57%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
SLB
2 - 0
ACA
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
BOA
48%
28%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
LEX
49%
27%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
MAR
3 - 1
PAÇ
41%
28%
32%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
BMA
1 - 1
PAÇ
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
FCP
21%
26%
53%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |