Académica vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
RIO
3 - 2
ACA
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
ACA
4 - 0
ALV
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
BMA
0 - 0
ACA
56%
23%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2004 |
ACA
2 - 0
MAR
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
GFC
0 - 1
ACA
58%
22%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
VIT
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
SLB
2 - 1
PAÇ
74%
18%
8%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
PAÇ
1 - 2
UDL
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
SCP
1 - 0
PAÇ
70%
20%
10%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
EST
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |