Académica vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
29.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
RIO
0 - 0
ACA
44%
28%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ACA
1 - 1
BEL
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
OLH
2 - 1
ACA
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
ACA
0 - 2
SCP
21%
27%
52%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
ACA
1 - 1
PAÇ
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 2
NAV
60%
24%
17%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 1
MAR
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 2
SPB
37%
29%
34%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 1
TRO
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
UDL
0 - 0
MAR
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |