Academia vs Bogotá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Academia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
ACA
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
BOG
1 - 1
ACA
42%
25%
33%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ACA
2 - 2
PER
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 0
ACA
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
AFC
2 - 1
ACA
20%
26%
54%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BOG
1 - 1
RSC
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
BOG
1 - 1
ACA
42%
25%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
3 - 0
BOG
22%
26%
52%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
BOG
3 - 3
RIO
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BOG
3 - 0
UNI
44%
27%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |