Mario Méndez vs Atl. Chiriquí II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
5º
1º
0
8º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
35 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 31 |
5º
|
69.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 16 |
9º
|
48.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
48.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 13 |
11º
|
68% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mario Méndez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
UME
1 - 1
AFM
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 0
AFM
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
AFM
3 - 1
OES
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
OES
0 - 1
AFM
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
CDU
0 - 6
AFM
19%
25%
56%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Chiriquí II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ACH
0 - 4
VCD
58%
20%
22%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HFC
2 - 0
ACH
29%
23%
48%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ACH
0 - 2
AFM
32%
26%
42%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
SAP
0 - 1
ACH
42%
26%
33%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
ACH
2 - 2
CDU
58%
22%
20%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |