Pavia vs Pergolettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
69.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.3%
0-2
15%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
MOD
2 - 0
PAV
81%
14%
5%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
PAV
0 - 1
ADR
49%
22%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 0
PAV
40%
22%
38%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
PAV
0 - 3
ASD
64%
19%
17%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
PAV
0 - 2
FIO
48%
25%
27%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
PER
2 - 0
CRE
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CLA
0 - 0
PER
10%
16%
74%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
PER
4 - 1
PSM
74%
18%
8%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
FAN
1 - 2
PER
20%
24%
57%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
PER
0 - 1
ASD
79%
16%
6%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |