Pavia vs FC Südtirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
28.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
FER
0 - 3
PAV
34%
28%
38%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
POR
2 - 2
PAV
43%
27%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
PAV
1 - 0
REG
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ABN
0 - 0
PAV
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
PAV
2 - 2
TRA
38%
27%
36%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Südtirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
FCS
1 - 1
ABN
32%
28%
39%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
TRI
1 - 1
FCS
23%
27%
50%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2012 |
FCS
1 - 0
POR
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
LEC
0 - 1
FCS
83%
12%
4%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ACD
1 - 1
FCS
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |