AC Monza vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
11.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
SAM
1 - 0
ASS
60%
25%
15%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
ASS
2 - 2
FCC
57%
28%
16%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
CAG
2 - 3
ASS
66%
22%
13%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
ASS
0 - 0
SSS
57%
26%
17%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
VAR
0 - 2
ASS
53%
28%
19%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
FCC
1 - 1
USC
71%
20%
10%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
USC
2 - 1
CES
35%
32%
34%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
MOD
2 - 0
USC
59%
27%
14%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
USC
1 - 1
BRE
48%
31%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
PIS
0 - 0
USC
64%
23%
13%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |