AC Monza vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
VIN
2 - 2
ASS
15%
24%
61%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
ASS
2 - 1
SAV
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
BV5
1 - 1
ASS
40%
27%
33%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ASS
2 - 1
RIM
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ACG
1 - 3
ASS
17%
25%
58%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
FCC
0 - 2
PRO
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
PRO
5 - 0
MIL
88%
9%
3%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
RIM
1 - 1
PRO
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
PRO
3 - 2
USA
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
SAV
0 - 0
PRO
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |