AC Monza vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
15.7%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
14.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
47.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
17.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
GEN
3 - 1
ASS
64%
21%
16%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
ASS
0 - 1
CRO
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2000 |
TER
4 - 1
ASS
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
ASS
1 - 0
CTT
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
CAG
2 - 1
ASS
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
PES
0 - 0
PIA
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
PIA
3 - 0
TER
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2000 |
SAL
3 - 0
PIA
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
PIA
3 - 1
TOR
47%
26%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
CRO
2 - 0
PIA
22%
28%
51%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |