AC Monza vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
SSS
1 - 0
ASS
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
ASS
2 - 1
VNZ
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
FCC
1 - 0
ASS
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
MES
1 - 0
ASS
51%
27%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
ASS
2 - 0
USF
60%
21%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
NOV
0 - 0
VER
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
USF
0 - 0
NOV
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
BRE
8 - 0
NOV
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
NOV
2 - 0
PAL
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
NOV
3 - 1
FCC
54%
24%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |