AC Monza vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
9.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
18.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
13.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1980 |
ATL
0 - 2
ASS
60%
26%
15%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
ASS
2 - 2
LAZ
34%
34%
33%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
ASS
1 - 1
PAL
46%
29%
25%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
TAR
1 - 0
ASS
51%
31%
19%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1980 |
CES
2 - 0
ASS
63%
23%
14%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1980 |
LEC
0 - 0
USF
48%
29%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
VER
3 - 1
LEC
53%
30%
17%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
LEC
2 - 1
PIS
55%
29%
17%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
LAZ
2 - 2
LEC
74%
19%
8%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1980 |
LEC
4 - 1
SAM
44%
32%
25%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +2 |