AC Monza vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
21.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1978 |
FIO
2 - 0
ASS
83%
12%
5%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
RIM
0 - 1
ASS
49%
28%
24%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1978 |
ASS
0 - 2
INT
20%
22%
58%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
USC
0 - 0
ASS
43%
31%
26%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1978 |
ASS
1 - 3
TOR
19%
28%
53%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1978 |
LEC
2 - 0
MOD
63%
24%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
LEC
1 - 0
PAL
47%
28%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
VAR
0 - 0
LEC
50%
28%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
LEC
0 - 1
RIM
56%
26%
17%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
FCC
3 - 1
LEC
60%
24%
17%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |