AC Monza vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
13.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
ASS
2 - 1
VIT
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
ABN
3 - 0
ASS
31%
30%
39%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ASS
3 - 0
RIM
64%
23%
13%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
GER
3 - 2
ASS
33%
30%
38%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
ASS
0 - 1
ASG
63%
23%
15%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
FER
1 - 1
IMO
23%
30%
48%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
TRI
3 - 0
FER
63%
24%
13%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
FER
0 - 0
TER
27%
26%
47%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
ABN
1 - 1
FER
58%
24%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
FER
0 - 0
VIS
43%
29%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |