Mantova vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
23.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1965 |
ATL
2 - 1
MAN
54%
26%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
MES
2 - 0
MAN
45%
28%
27%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
MAN
1 - 0
CAT
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
BOL
4 - 1
MAN
78%
14%
8%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
ROM
0 - 0
MAN
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1965 |
LAZ
2 - 1
USF
48%
28%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
LAZ
2 - 0
SAM
41%
29%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
TOR
2 - 0
LAZ
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
LAZ
0 - 2
JUV
22%
27%
51%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
CAG
3 - 0
LAZ
51%
28%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |