Mantova vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
46%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 0
MAN
57%
23%
21%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 0
FER
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 0
TRI
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
VIS
1 - 4
MAN
22%
24%
53%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 2
ASG
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
PAD
1 - 1
FAN
72%
20%
9%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
IMO
1 - 1
PAD
17%
24%
59%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
SSS
0 - 1
PAD
27%
26%
47%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
PAD
0 - 1
MOD
58%
25%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
ASG
0 - 3
PAD
20%
26%
55%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |