Mantova vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
45.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
AVE
0 - 0
MAN
27%
26%
47%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
MAN
1 - 0
TOR
37%
30%
33%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
USC
1 - 2
MAN
29%
26%
45%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
MAN
3 - 0
CAT
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
CRO
1 - 1
MAN
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2005 |
BRE
2 - 2
MOD
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
FCC
1 - 2
BRE
10%
21%
69%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
BRE
2 - 2
BAR
68%
21%
11%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
PES
0 - 3
BRE
18%
24%
58%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
BRE
1 - 0
TRI
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |