Serie D Ronda Campeonato. Jor. 1

Lumezzane vs Sestri Levante analysis

Lumezzane Sestri Levante
47 ELO 49
-11.7% Tilt -10.4%
3606º General ELO ranking 3585º
93º Country ELO ranking 90º
ELO win probability
40.7%
Lumezzane
26.5%
Draw
32.7%
Sestri Levante

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
Lumezzane
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.7%
Win probability
Sestri Levante
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lumezzane
+7%
+2%
Sestri Levante

Points and table prediction

Lumezzane
Their league position
Sestri Levante
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
4
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sorrento
6
6
100%
Sestri Levante
4
4
100%
SS Arezzo
3
3
0%
Pineto
3
3
0%
Giana Erminio
3
3
100%
Lumezzane
3
3
0%
Catania
3
3
0%
Legnago Salus
1
1
100%
Brindisi
0
0
100%
Expected probabilities
Lumezzane
Sestri Levante
Next round
0% 0%
Possible next round
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

Lumezzane
Sestri Levante
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lumezzane
Lumezzane
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 May. 2023
ASD
Città di Varese
0 - 2
Lumezzane
ACL
17%
25%
58%
47 35 12 0
30 Apr. 2023
ACL
Lumezzane
2 - 0
Caronnese
CAR
82%
14%
4%
46 22 24 +1
23 Apr. 2023
CAL
Calcio Brusaporto
1 - 2
Lumezzane
ACL
23%
27%
50%
46 38 8 0
16 Apr. 2023
ACL
Lumezzane
2 - 1
Villa Valle
VIL
72%
19%
9%
45 32 13 +1
06 Apr. 2023
ARC
Arconatese
2 - 1
Lumezzane
ACL
27%
27%
47%
46 38 8 -1

Matches

Sestri Levante
Sestri Levante
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 May. 2023
SES
Sestri Levante
4 - 2
Borgosesia
BOR
66%
21%
13%
48 37 11 0
30 Apr. 2023
ASD
AS Bra
4 - 3
Sestri Levante
SES
26%
27%
47%
48 43 5 0
23 Apr. 2023
FEZ
Fezzanese
0 - 3
Sestri Levante
SES
12%
23%
65%
48 31 17 0
16 Apr. 2023
SES
Sestri Levante
1 - 0
Stresa
STR
78%
16%
6%
47 25 22 +1
11 Apr. 2023
LIG
Ligorna
1 - 1
Sestri Levante
SES
24%
26%
50%
47 38 9 0
X