Lumezzane vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
30.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
CAR
0 - 2
ACL
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
ACL
1 - 1
ALV
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2001 |
SPA
2 - 0
ACL
56%
24%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
ACL
2 - 0
PIS
38%
29%
34%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
LEC
0 - 2
ACL
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
ASL
0 - 1
PIS
45%
29%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
MOD
2 - 0
ASL
49%
27%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
ASL
2 - 1
ALV
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
CES
0 - 0
ASL
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
ASL
1 - 0
COM
39%
29%
32%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |