Lumezzane vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
VAR
0 - 1
ACL
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
ACL
2 - 2
ABN
41%
27%
33%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
REG
1 - 1
ACL
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
ACL
1 - 3
ASL
49%
27%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
CES
2 - 1
ACL
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
SPE
2 - 0
TRE
41%
26%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
SPE
2 - 2
ARZ
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2002 |
CES
1 - 0
SPE
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
SPE
1 - 1
ALZ
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
PRO
0 - 0
SPE
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |