Hombourg vs Wanze / Bas-Oha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
70.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hombourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
STO
4 - 0
HOM
88%
9%
4%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
HOM
0 - 2
MEL
23%
22%
55%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
HOM
0 - 2
RAU
34%
22%
44%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
XHO
1 - 1
HOM
67%
18%
15%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
HOM
0 - 1
BAN
24%
21%
55%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Wanze / Bas-Oha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
WAN
3 - 5
RAU
76%
14%
10%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
XHO
3 - 2
WAN
21%
20%
59%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
WAN
0 - 1
BAN
68%
17%
15%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
BEA
4 - 1
WAN
37%
24%
39%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
WAN
2 - 0
WEY
74%
16%
10%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |