AC Este vs Legnago Salus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Este
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
NKK
0 - 3
ACE
15%
21%
65%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ACE
0 - 2
SAC
72%
18%
10%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
DEL
2 - 1
ACE
36%
26%
39%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ACE
2 - 0
CLO
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ACE
2 - 3
REA
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Legnago Salus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LEG
1 - 1
SAN
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
REA
1 - 0
LEG
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
LEG
1 - 1
CER
64%
20%
17%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
BEL
0 - 0
LEG
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LEG
2 - 1
TAM
73%
17%
11%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |