Cesena vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
37.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2015 |
NAP
3 - 2
CES
84%
11%
4%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CES
2 - 3
SAS
28%
26%
47%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
FIO
3 - 1
CES
79%
15%
7%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
CES
2 - 2
ATL
31%
29%
41%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
GEN
3 - 1
CES
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
CAG
0 - 1
PAL
44%
26%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 1
CAG
80%
14%
6%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2015 |
CAG
4 - 0
PAR
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 0
CAG
44%
29%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
FIO
1 - 3
CAG
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | +2 |