Cesena vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
JUS
0 - 2
CES
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CES
1 - 1
SIE
26%
28%
46%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
CES
1 - 1
PES
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
TRA
0 - 1
CES
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CES
4 - 1
CAR
58%
25%
17%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 2
CRO
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
AVE
1 - 0
BAR
39%
28%
34%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 0
BAR
32%
28%
40%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 1
PAL
32%
29%
39%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
PES
0 - 1
BAR
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |